Identify30-60 Days

Advanced Compliance Framework - FY25

ID: 8911027-20

Potential Value

$2,500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

106

Client & Account

Client

Sterling Energy Capital

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Williams Alexis

Pursuit Leader

Butler Karin

Open Date

Jan 27, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

May 29, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Advanced Compliance Framework - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

33.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$125,763

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.623
Deal size (log scale)
-0.403
Service sub-line track record
-0.396

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

33.8%

Model A: Planning

14.9%

Model B: Early Signal

5.7%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

14.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.150
Service sub-line track record
-0.925
Deal age (days since open)
-0.913

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (15%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

5.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.867
Service sub-line track record
-0.660
Deal size
-0.595

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (6%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.