Pursue60-90 Days

End-to-End Asset Management Architecture - Extension

ID: 7172881-30

Potential Value

$1

Deal Value

$1

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

195

Client & Account

Client

Beacon Agency

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Forensics

Competency

Incident Response & Resilience

Global Service Code

Mediation Services (94774)

People & Dates

Partner

Ward Linda

Pursuit Leader

Allen Sandra

Open Date

Oct 30, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

End-to-End Asset Management Architecture - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

73.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.716
Non-recurring work
+0.626
Opportunity business unit
+0.468

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

73.0%

Model A: Planning

14.8%

Model B: Early Signal

17.7%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

14.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.235
Service sub-line track record
-0.913
Deal age (days since open)
-0.879

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (15%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

17.7%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.730
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.605
Market segment
-0.401

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (18%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment.