Sustainable Data Analytics Phase I
ID: 5329518-40
Potential Value
$500,000
Deal Value
$2,000,000
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
161
Client
Crimson Operational Solutions
City
Dallas
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
FED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Cybersecurity
Opportunity Sub-SL
Cybersecurity
Competency
Cyber Implementation
Global Service Code
Policy Development (47968)
Partner
Hughes Andrew
Pursuit Leader
Ortiz Amber
Open Date
Dec 3, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
May 29, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Sustainable Data Analytics Phase I
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
34.2%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$61,146
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
34.2%
Model A: Planning
35.8%
Model B: Early Signal
6.1%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
35.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (36%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
6.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (6%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.