Multi-Phase Regulatory Reporting Migration
ID: 8049283-50
Potential Value
$8,000,000
Deal Value
$40,000,000
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
785
Client
Crimson Operational Solutions
City
Dallas
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
FED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Enterprise IT Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)
Partner
King Charles
Pursuit Leader
Wagner Brenda
Open Date
Mar 19, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
Jul 10, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Multi-Phase Regulatory Reporting Migration
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
17.2%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$810,694
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
17.2%
Model A: Planning
58.8%
Model B: Early Signal
2.9%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
58.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (59%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
2.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.