Transformative Program Management Advisory - Phase 2
ID: 4509463-20
Potential Value
$250,000
Deal Value
$1
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
474
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Organization & People
Opportunity Sub-SL
Organization & People
Competency
People Experience
Global Service Code
Integration Planning (47165)
Partner
Meyer Brenda
Pursuit Leader
Gray Larry
Open Date
Jan 24, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Aug 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Transformative Program Management Advisory - Phase 2
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
32.0%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$23,078
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
32.0%
Model A: Planning
28.8%
Model B: Early Signal
12.2%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
28.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (29%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
12.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other).