Adaptive Program Management Architecture - Renewal
ID: 7861624-30
Potential Value
$250,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
575
Client
Atlas Regulatory Innovations
Account
Emerald Digital Foundation
City
Washington
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
AI and Data Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Intelligent Analytics Platform (20383)
Partner
Romero Susan
Pursuit Leader
Coleman Scott
Open Date
Oct 15, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
May 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Adaptive Program Management Architecture - Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
40.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$68,488
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
40.7%
Model A: Planning
67.3%
Model B: Early Signal
11.1%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
67.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (67%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
11.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (11%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.