Digital Legacy System Framework (Revised)
ID: 4328687-20
Potential Value
$1,324,894
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
30%
Days in Pipeline
428
Client
Alpha Agricultural Technologies
Account
Cedar Maritime Advisors
City
Düsseldorf
Region
Europe Central
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy & Transformation
Competency
Enterprise Transformation
Global Service Code
Process Reengineering (74403)
Partner
Davis Joshua
Pursuit Leader
Nguyen Wei
Open Date
Mar 11, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jun 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Digital Legacy System Framework (Revised)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
48.4%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$192,576
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
48.4%
Model A: Planning
30.0%
Model B: Early Signal
10.5%
Stated Probability
30%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
30.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (30%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
10.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (10%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.