ClosingOver 90 Days

Optimized Stakeholder Engagement Assessment - Renewal

ID: 4927519-10

Potential Value

$763,027

Deal Value

$80,314,318

Stated Probability

90%

Days in Pipeline

649

Client & Account

Client

Fusion Aerospace Commission

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Audit & Governance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Audit

Competency

Audit (CORE)

Global Service Code

Compliance Monitoring (43381)

People & Dates

Partner

Suzuki Michelle

Pursuit Leader

Smith Sharon

Open Date

Aug 2, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Dec 15, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Optimized Stakeholder Engagement Assessment - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

81.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$567,462

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.659
Opportunity business unit
+0.482
Service sub-line track record
+0.457

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

81.9%

Model A: Planning

90.8%

Model B: Early Signal

69.5%

Stated Probability

90%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

90.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.435
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.238
Lead sales credit %
-0.928

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (91%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

69.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.058
Market segment
-0.531
Account business unit
-0.425

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (69%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, account business unit.