Global Tax Reform Diagnostic - Phase 3
ID: 2272709-40
Potential Value
$114,657
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
146
Client
Falcon Trust
City
Philadelphia
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Digital and Technology Risk Management
Global Service Code
Credit Risk Advisory (57516)
Partner
Clark Pablo
Pursuit Leader
Leroy Scott
Open Date
Dec 18, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 22, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Global Tax Reform Diagnostic - Phase 3
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
39.4%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$28,526
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
39.4%
Model A: Planning
63.2%
Model B: Early Signal
22.0%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
63.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (63%). Factors working in favor: time in current pipeline stage. Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
22.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (22%). Factors working in favor: jamaica geographic factor. Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other).