Predictive Stakeholder Engagement Review - Pilot
ID: 2550215-50
Potential Value
$1
Deal Value
$7,500,000
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
271
Client
Nexus Agricultural Board
Account
Frontier Digital Institute
City
San Francisco
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Enterprise IT Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)
Partner
Hoffmann Lori
Pursuit Leader
Ross Natalie
Open Date
Aug 15, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Predictive Stakeholder Engagement Review - Pilot
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
58.6%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$0
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
58.6%
Model A: Planning
23.0%
Model B: Early Signal
19.6%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
23.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (23%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
19.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (20%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, market segment.