Optimized Program Management Blueprint (Revised)
ID: 4105619-50
Potential Value
$1
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
30%
Days in Pipeline
112
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Sustainability
Opportunity Sub-SL
CCaSS
Competency
CCaSS - ESG and Sustainability
Global Service Code
Budget Advisory - CorpFin (98734)
Partner
Liu Barbara
Pursuit Leader
Hansen David
Open Date
Jan 21, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Optimized Program Management Blueprint (Revised)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
67.6%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$0
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
67.6%
Model A: Planning
16.3%
Model B: Early Signal
15.1%
Stated Probability
30%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
16.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (16%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, deal age (days since open), brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
15.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (15%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment.