Enhanced Technology Modernization Automation - Phase 2
ID: 3485512-50
Potential Value
$325,564
Deal Value
$325,563
Stated Probability
70%
Days in Pipeline
197
Client
Cardinal Insurance Logistics
Account
Frontier Digital Institute
City
San Francisco
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy & Transformation
Competency
Enterprise Transformation
Global Service Code
Process Reengineering (74403)
Partner
Bailey Feng
Pursuit Leader
Johansen Magnus
Open Date
Oct 28, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 16, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Enhanced Technology Modernization Automation - Phase 2
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
28.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$74,760
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
28.9%
Model A: Planning
79.3%
Model B: Early Signal
47.0%
Stated Probability
70%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
79.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (79%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
47.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (47%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, currency (usd vs other).