IdentifyOver 90 Days

Foundational Cost Optimization Architecture

ID: 3204839-20

Potential Value

$800,000

Deal Value

$4,000,000

Stated Probability

70%

Days in Pipeline

322

Client & Account

Client

River Ventures

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

AI and Data Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Intelligent Analytics Platform (20383)

People & Dates

Partner

Schäfer Amit

Pursuit Leader

Müller Kathleen

Open Date

Jun 25, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Foundational Cost Optimization Architecture

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

31.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$225,276

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.614
Service sub-line track record
-0.572
Account track record
-0.394

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

31.5%

Model A: Planning

89.3%

Model B: Early Signal

73.1%

Stated Probability

70%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

89.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.593
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.946
Lead sales credit %
-0.886

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (89%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

73.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.148
Renewal pursuit
+0.602
Service sub-line track record
-0.477

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (73%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.