Qualify60-90 Days

Unified Internal Audit Deployment

ID: 3793196-10

Potential Value

$3,000,000

Deal Value

$15,000,000

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

124

Client & Account

Client

Pinnacle Aerospace Capital

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

BTS

Competency

BTS - BTA

Global Service Code

Workforce Development (31835)

People & Dates

Partner

Rivera Kimberly

Pursuit Leader

Leroy Andrew

Open Date

Jan 9, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 19, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Unified Internal Audit Deployment

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

70.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$265,310

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.597
Opportunity business unit
+0.496
Service sub-line track record
+0.438

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

70.6%

Model A: Planning

12.5%

Model B: Early Signal

3.1%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

12.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.349
Deal size vs service line median
-0.881
Deal age (days since open)
-0.768

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.927
Deal size vs service line median
-0.688
Deal size
-0.660

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, deal size.