Innovative Supply Chain Implementation - Phase 2
ID: 3999314-10
Potential Value
$27,000,000
Deal Value
$135,000,000
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
105
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy & Transformation
Competency
Enterprise Transformation
Global Service Code
Process Reengineering (74403)
Partner
Meyer Brenda
Pursuit Leader
Ruiz Samuel
Open Date
Jan 28, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
May 1, 2029
Close Date
N/A
Description
Innovative Supply Chain Implementation - Phase 2
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
30.1%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$644,855
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
30.1%
Model A: Planning
7.9%
Model B: Early Signal
3.2%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
7.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (8%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
3.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.