IdentifyOver 90 Days

Comprehensive Performance Management Integration - Phase 3

ID: 7054294-30

Potential Value

$625,535

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

614

Client & Account

Client

Azure Agency

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Risk´

Competency

Financial Risk Management

Global Service Code

Cybersecurity Operations (48230)

People & Dates

Partner

Liu Larry

Pursuit Leader

Moore Helen

Open Date

Sep 6, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 5, 2029

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Comprehensive Performance Management Integration - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

37.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$64,411

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.587
Service sub-line track record
-0.487
US Federal business unit
-0.251

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

37.6%

Model A: Planning

27.4%

Model B: Early Signal

7.5%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

27.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.448
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.936
Lead sales credit %
-0.635

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (27%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

7.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.710
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.476
Market segment
-0.419

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (7%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other), market segment.