PursuePast Due

Automated Compliance Advisory

ID: 2499325-40

Potential Value

$1,000,000

Deal Value

$1,181,818

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

112

Client & Account

Client

Azure Agency

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Legal & Investigations

Opportunity Sub-SL

Forensics

Competency

Disputes

Global Service Code

Talent Analytics (93054)

People & Dates

Partner

Myers Paul

Pursuit Leader

Sanders Carlos

Open Date

Jan 21, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Automated Compliance Advisory

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

44.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$77,036

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.573
Service sub-line track record
-0.518
Opportunity business unit
+0.460

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

44.4%

Model A: Planning

17.4%

Model B: Early Signal

8.6%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

17.4%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-1.237
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.081
Deal age (days since open)
-0.998

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (17%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

8.6%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.754
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.716
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.462

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other).