IdentifyOver 90 Days

Innovative Risk Management Engagement

ID: 6325429-20

Potential Value

$1,500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

90

Client & Account

Client

Azure Agency

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Liu Larry

Pursuit Leader

Price Edward

Open Date

Feb 12, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Innovative Risk Management Engagement

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

18.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$51,059

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.568
Work type
+0.554
US Federal business unit
-0.306

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

18.5%

Model A: Planning

18.4%

Model B: Early Signal

6.0%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

18.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.285
Service sub-line track record
-0.878
Lead sales credit %
-0.638

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (18%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

6.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.876
Service sub-line track record
-0.573
Market segment
-0.453

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (6%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, market segment.