Pursue60-90 Days

Dynamic Regulatory Reporting Phase II - Extension

ID: 8422306-10

Potential Value

$41,632

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

30%

Days in Pipeline

428

Client & Account

Client

Alpha Agricultural Technologies

City

Düsseldorf

Region

Europe Central

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Sustainability

Opportunity Sub-SL

CCaSS

Competency

CCaSS - Climate and decarbonization

Global Service Code

Forensic Analysis (58897)

People & Dates

Partner

Davis Joshua

Pursuit Leader

Nguyen Wei

Open Date

Mar 11, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Dynamic Regulatory Reporting Phase II - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

92.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$6,046

Key Triage Drivers

Opportunity business unit
+0.839
Work type
+0.561
Opportunity region track record
+0.474

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

92.4%

Model A: Planning

15.7%

Model B: Early Signal

11.7%

Stated Probability

30%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

15.7%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.632
Service sub-line track record
-1.186
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.913

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (16%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

11.7%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-1.032
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.522
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.439

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other).