Enhanced Risk Management Advisory
ID: 1905893-10
Potential Value
$281,015
Deal Value
$281,015
Stated Probability
30%
Days in Pipeline
260
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy & Transformation
Competency
Enterprise Transformation
Global Service Code
Process Reengineering (74403)
Partner
Davis Joshua
Pursuit Leader
Nguyen Wei
Open Date
Aug 26, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 8, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Enhanced Risk Management Advisory
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
42.2%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$60,544
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
42.2%
Model A: Planning
51.1%
Model B: Early Signal
9.6%
Stated Probability
30%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
51.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (51%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
9.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (10%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.