Adaptive Change Management Advisory - Renewal
ID: 4256110-50
Potential Value
$1
Deal Value
$250,000
Stated Probability
0%
Days in Pipeline
344
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Transactions & Corporate Finance
Competency
TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Regulatory Compliance (61122)
Partner
Aguilar Jean-Paul
Pursuit Leader
Nguyen Olivia
Open Date
Jun 3, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jun 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Adaptive Change Management Advisory - Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
79.2%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$0
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
79.2%
Model A: Planning
22.7%
Model B: Early Signal
20.0%
Stated Probability
0%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
22.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (23%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
20.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (20%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record, market segment.