IdentifyOver 90 Days

Optimized Internal Audit Framework

ID: 4498293-20

Potential Value

$1,200,000

Deal Value

$6,000,000

Stated Probability

70%

Days in Pipeline

322

Client & Account

Client

River Ventures

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Risk´

Competency

Enterprise Resilience

Global Service Code

Knowledge Management - Management (65292)

People & Dates

Partner

Schäfer Amit

Pursuit Leader

Müller Kathleen

Open Date

Jun 25, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Optimized Internal Audit Framework

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

46.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$510,543

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.674
Service sub-line track record
-0.380
Account track record
-0.333

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

46.6%

Model A: Planning

91.2%

Model B: Early Signal

79.0%

Stated Probability

70%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

91.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.587
Lead sales credit %
-0.944
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.870

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (91%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

79.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.107
Renewal pursuit
+0.600
Market segment
-0.453

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (79%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: market segment.