PursueWithin 30 Days

Cross-Functional Asset Management Migration - FY25

ID: 9375973-10

Potential Value

$730,000

Deal Value

$1,500,000

Stated Probability

75%

Days in Pipeline

271

Client & Account

Client

Azure Agency

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Risk´

Competency

Integrated Risk Management

Global Service Code

Diversity Programs (52033)

People & Dates

Partner

Liu Larry

Pursuit Leader

Barnes Diana

Open Date

Aug 15, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Cross-Functional Asset Management Migration - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

70.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$407,839

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.689
Renewal pursuit
+0.621
Service sub-line track record
-0.353

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

70.2%

Model A: Planning

79.6%

Model B: Early Signal

53.9%

Stated Probability

75%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

79.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.458
Lead sales credit %
-0.807
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.800

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (80%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

53.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.932
Renewal pursuit
+0.598
Market segment
-0.409

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (54%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: market segment.