Dynamic Cost Optimization Phase I (Amended)
ID: 1085992-10
Potential Value
$6,000,000
Deal Value
$30,000,000
Stated Probability
35%
Days in Pipeline
233
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Finance
Opportunity Sub-SL
FAAS
Competency
FAAS - Enhanced Corporate Reporting and Accounting
Global Service Code
Change Leadership (49526)
Partner
Liu Larry
Pursuit Leader
Moore Helen
Open Date
Sep 22, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Sep 30, 2027
Close Date
N/A
Description
Dynamic Cost Optimization Phase I (Amended)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
59.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$416,409
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
59.5%
Model A: Planning
11.7%
Model B: Early Signal
2.9%
Stated Probability
35%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
11.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
2.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.