IdentifyOver 90 Days

Adaptive Service Delivery Analysis - Phase 2

ID: 7652655-30

Potential Value

$2,300,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

98

Client & Account

Client

Atlas Resources

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Forensics

Competency

Incident Response & Resilience

Global Service Code

Mediation Services (94774)

People & Dates

Partner

Collins Michelle

Pursuit Leader

Leroy Andrew

Open Date

Feb 4, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Adaptive Service Delivery Analysis - Phase 2

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

94.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$1,949,438

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.897
Work type
+0.776
Recurring/additional sale
+0.406

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

94.3%

Model A: Planning

89.9%

Model B: Early Signal

83.7%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

89.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.911
Deal age (days since open)
-0.765
Recurring/additional sale
+0.705

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (90%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

83.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.143
Recurring/additional sale
+0.736
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.550

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (84%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale, opportunitytype additional sales opportunity.