PursueOver 90 Days

Core Compliance Automation

ID: 1248740-30

Potential Value

$1,750,000

Deal Value

$8,750,000

Stated Probability

70%

Days in Pipeline

273

Client & Account

Client

Azure Agency

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Risk´

Competency

Internal Audit Transformation

Global Service Code

Environmental Compliance - Operations (63233)

People & Dates

Partner

Liu Larry

Pursuit Leader

Moore Helen

Open Date

Aug 13, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Oct 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Core Compliance Automation

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

67.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$1,061,851

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.708
Renewal pursuit
+0.611
Service sub-line track record
-0.359

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

67.9%

Model A: Planning

89.3%

Model B: Early Signal

76.6%

Stated Probability

70%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

89.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.611
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.926
Deal age (days since open)
-0.515

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (89%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

76.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.082
Renewal pursuit
+0.599
Market segment
-0.472

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (77%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: market segment.