IdentifyOver 90 Days

Core Sustainability Redesign - FY26

ID: 9089348-10

Potential Value

$1,500,000

Deal Value

$1,500,000

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

366

Client & Account

Client

Azure Agency

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Risk´

Competency

Financial Risk Management

Global Service Code

Cybersecurity Operations (48230)

People & Dates

Partner

Liu Larry

Pursuit Leader

Moore Helen

Open Date

May 12, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jan 20, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Core Sustainability Redesign - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

53.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$617,531

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.702
Renewal pursuit
+0.596
Service sub-line track record
-0.356

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

53.6%

Model A: Planning

76.8%

Model B: Early Signal

66.1%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

76.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.621
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.424
Lead sales credit %
-0.851

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (77%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

66.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.032
Renewal pursuit
+0.599
Market segment
-0.449

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (66%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: market segment.