PursuePast Due

Resilient Cost Optimization Scale-Up - FY25

ID: 4963266-40

Potential Value

$195,000

Deal Value

$195,000

Stated Probability

90%

Days in Pipeline

271

Client & Account

Client

Azure Agency

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Risk´

Competency

Internal Audit Transformation

Global Service Code

Environmental Compliance - Operations (63233)

People & Dates

Partner

Liu Larry

Pursuit Leader

Barnes Diana

Open Date

Aug 15, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 11, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Resilient Cost Optimization Scale-Up - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

66.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$119,752

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.732
Renewal pursuit
+0.605
Service sub-line track record
-0.373

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

66.2%

Model A: Planning

92.8%

Model B: Early Signal

62.8%

Stated Probability

90%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

92.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.234
Lead sales credit %
-0.838
Market segment
-0.473

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (93%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, market segment.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

62.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.892
Renewal pursuit
+0.556
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.480

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (63%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: currency (usd vs other).