PursueOver 90 Days

Global Internal Audit Proof of Concept - Renewal

ID: 3858808-20

Potential Value

$250,000

Deal Value

$500,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

411

Client & Account

Client

Azure Agency

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

HR Transformation

Global Service Code

Asset Recovery (63713)

People & Dates

Partner

Larsen Katherine

Pursuit Leader

Barnes Diana

Open Date

Mar 28, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Aug 3, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Global Internal Audit Proof of Concept - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

28.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$52,986

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.622
Service sub-line track record
-0.414
US Federal business unit
-0.293

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

28.6%

Model A: Planning

74.1%

Model B: Early Signal

38.1%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

74.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.346
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.234
Service sub-line track record
-0.935

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (74%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

38.1%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.989
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.626
Renewal pursuit
+0.513

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (38%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.