PursueOver 90 Days

High-Impact Procurement Pilot - FY26

ID: 8764048-10

Potential Value

$150,000

Deal Value

$300,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

411

Client & Account

Client

Azure Agency

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Finance´

Competency

Global Business Services

Global Service Code

Grant Management (35413)

People & Dates

Partner

Larsen Katherine

Pursuit Leader

Barnes Diana

Open Date

Mar 28, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Aug 3, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

High-Impact Procurement Pilot - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

61.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$70,510

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.672
Renewal pursuit
+0.632
Service sub-line track record
-0.375

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

61.6%

Model A: Planning

76.3%

Model B: Early Signal

50.8%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

76.3%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.555
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.541
Lead sales credit %
-0.775

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (76%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

50.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.055
Renewal pursuit
+0.599
Service sub-line track record
-0.560

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (51%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.