Next-Gen Tax Reform Redesign - Extension
ID: 4161780-30
Potential Value
$100,000
Deal Value
$118,182
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
112
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Cybersecurity
Opportunity Sub-SL
Cybersecurity
Competency
Cyber Implementation
Global Service Code
Policy Development (47968)
Partner
Myers Paul
Pursuit Leader
Sanders Carlos
Open Date
Jan 21, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Next-Gen Tax Reform Redesign - Extension
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
20.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$11,817
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
20.9%
Model A: Planning
56.5%
Model B: Early Signal
33.5%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
56.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (57%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
33.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (34%). Factors working against: currency (usd vs other), brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.