PursueOver 90 Days

Agile Governance Blueprint

ID: 8355242-50

Potential Value

$1,400,000

Deal Value

$7,000,000

Stated Probability

70%

Days in Pipeline

1001

Client & Account

Client

Azure Agency

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Risk´

Competency

Internal Audit Transformation

Global Service Code

Environmental Compliance - Operations (63233)

People & Dates

Partner

Liu Larry

Pursuit Leader

Moore Helen

Open Date

Aug 16, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 1, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Agile Governance Blueprint

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

66.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$844,348

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.705
Renewal pursuit
+0.586
Service sub-line track record
-0.354

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

66.7%

Model A: Planning

90.4%

Model B: Early Signal

76.6%

Stated Probability

70%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

90.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.404
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.373
Market segment
-0.432

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (90%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, market segment.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

76.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.082
Renewal pursuit
+0.598
Market segment
-0.472

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (77%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: market segment.