Accelerated Risk Management Advisory (Revised)
ID: 8127745-20
Potential Value
$6,000,000
Deal Value
$30,000,000
Stated Probability
75%
Days in Pipeline
469
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Financial Risk Management
Global Service Code
Cybersecurity Operations (48230)
Partner
Liu Larry
Pursuit Leader
Moore Helen
Open Date
Jan 29, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Oct 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Accelerated Risk Management Advisory (Revised)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
70.6%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$2,923,687
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
70.6%
Model A: Planning
69.0%
Model B: Early Signal
52.7%
Stated Probability
75%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
69.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (69%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
52.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (53%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: deal size vs service line median.