Pursue60-90 Days

Core Quality Assurance Deployment - Renewal

ID: 7990265-10

Potential Value

$5,000,000

Deal Value

$8,000,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

733

Client & Account

Client

Heritage Government Authority

City

Houston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Powell Kevin

Pursuit Leader

Leroy Kenji

Open Date

May 10, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 26, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Core Quality Assurance Deployment - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

50.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$1,387,378

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.687
Service sub-line track record
-0.401
Opportunity business unit
+0.275

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

50.2%

Model A: Planning

55.2%

Model B: Early Signal

3.4%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

55.2%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.089
Deal age (days since open)
+1.042
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.908

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (55%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.869
Service sub-line track record
-0.586
Deal size
-0.488

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.