Resilient Program Management Framework
ID: 1855235-30
Potential Value
$400,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
112
Client
Silver Environmental Council
Account
Emerald Digital Foundation
City
Houston
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy and Execution
Competency
S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Disaster Recovery (42200)
Partner
Turner Benjamin
Pursuit Leader
Cruz Beverly
Open Date
Jan 21, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
May 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Resilient Program Management Framework
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
65.0%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$54,341
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
65.0%
Model A: Planning
20.9%
Model B: Early Signal
16.1%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
20.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (21%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
16.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (16%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.