High-Impact Supply Chain Blueprint - FY26
ID: 8664869-40
Potential Value
$1,154,904
Deal Value
$1,154,804
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
615
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Financial Risk Management
Global Service Code
Cybersecurity Operations (48230)
Partner
Liu Larry
Pursuit Leader
Moore Helen
Open Date
Sep 5, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 26, 2028
Close Date
N/A
Description
High-Impact Supply Chain Blueprint - FY26
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
65.0%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$613,215
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
65.0%
Model A: Planning
81.8%
Model B: Early Signal
66.1%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
81.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (82%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
66.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (66%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: market segment.