Adaptive Performance Management Initiative - Pilot
ID: 3327765-50
Potential Value
$75,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
30%
Days in Pipeline
85
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Transactions
Opportunity Sub-SL
Transactions & Corporate Finance
Competency
TCF - Buy & Integrate
Global Service Code
Resource Planning (81634)
Partner
Carter Michael
Pursuit Leader
Alvarez Jessica
Open Date
Feb 17, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
May 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Adaptive Performance Management Initiative - Pilot
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
68.4%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$23,059
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
68.4%
Model A: Planning
44.9%
Model B: Early Signal
18.0%
Stated Probability
30%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
44.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (45%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
18.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (18%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other), sub-sector track record.