Innovative Supply Chain Transformation
ID: 9482748-40
Potential Value
$1,000,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
20%
Days in Pipeline
580
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Financial Risk Management
Global Service Code
Cybersecurity Operations (48230)
Partner
Meyer Yuki
Pursuit Leader
Verma Ming
Open Date
Oct 10, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
Jan 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Innovative Supply Chain Transformation
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
43.1%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$203,448
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
43.1%
Model A: Planning
47.2%
Model B: Early Signal
4.7%
Stated Probability
20%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
47.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (47%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
4.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, deal size.