IdentifyPast Due

Critical Data Analytics Initiative

ID: 4449186-50

Potential Value

$1

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

30%

Days in Pipeline

195

Client & Account

Client

Pine Banking Enterprises

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Identity Management - Compliance (62617)

People & Dates

Partner

Powell Marcel

Pursuit Leader

Adams Yuki

Open Date

Oct 30, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Critical Data Analytics Initiative

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

57.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.626
Opportunity business unit
+0.481
Deal size vs service line median
-0.351

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

57.8%

Model A: Planning

31.0%

Model B: Early Signal

16.8%

Stated Probability

30%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

31.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.975
Deal age (days since open)
-0.732
Lead sales credit %
-0.729

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (31%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

16.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.618
Sub-sector track record
-0.457
Service sub-line track record
-0.430

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (17%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record, service sub-line track record.