Advanced Compliance Assessment - Extension
ID: 4482294-20
Potential Value
$2,900,000
Deal Value
$2,900,000
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
91
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy and Execution
Competency
S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Security Assessment (95591)
Partner
Rivera Carolyn
Pursuit Leader
Taylor Ruth
Open Date
Feb 11, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Advanced Compliance Assessment - Extension
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
76.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$404,880
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
76.3%
Model A: Planning
18.3%
Model B: Early Signal
3.8%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
18.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (18%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
3.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.