PursueOver 90 Days

Resilient Tax Reform Integration (Revised)

ID: 8931008-40

Potential Value

$200,000

Deal Value

$200,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

441

Client & Account

Client

Azure Agency

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Risk´

Competency

Enterprise Resilience

Global Service Code

Knowledge Management - Management (65292)

People & Dates

Partner

Liu Larry

Pursuit Leader

Moore Helen

Open Date

Feb 26, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Oct 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Resilient Tax Reform Integration (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

83.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$152,084

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.695
Work type
+0.689
Recurring/additional sale
+0.525

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

83.7%

Model A: Planning

90.8%

Model B: Early Signal

93.0%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

90.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.803
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.540
Recurring/additional sale
+0.673

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (91%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

93.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.958
Recurring/additional sale
+0.627
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.541

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (93%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale, opportunitytype additional sales opportunity.