PursueOver 90 Days

Extended Procurement Framework - Extension

ID: 1502953-40

Potential Value

$1,681,066

Deal Value

$1,681,066

Stated Probability

75%

Days in Pipeline

369

Client & Account

Client

Azure Agency

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Risk´

Competency

Financial Risk Management

Global Service Code

Cybersecurity Operations (48230)

People & Dates

Partner

Bennett Matthew

Pursuit Leader

Van der Berg Catherine

Open Date

May 9, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 14, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Extended Procurement Framework - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

94.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$1,472,332

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.774
Non-recurring work
+0.584
Recurring/additional sale
+0.568

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

94.9%

Model A: Planning

92.3%

Model B: Early Signal

92.4%

Stated Probability

75%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

92.3%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.869
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.645
Lead sales credit %
-0.809

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (92%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

92.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.088
Market segment
-0.486
Recurring/additional sale
+0.481

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (92%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: market segment.