Qualify30-60 Days

Optimized Sustainability Deployment (Revised)

ID: 4169604-40

Potential Value

$100,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

30%

Days in Pipeline

85

Client & Account

Client

Falcon Aerospace Inc

City

Muscat

Region

MENA

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Transactions

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Buy & Integrate

Global Service Code

Governance Framework (84071)

People & Dates

Partner

Carter Michael

Pursuit Leader

Alvarez Jessica

Open Date

Feb 17, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

May 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Optimized Sustainability Deployment (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

68.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$18,642

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.554
Service sub-line track record
-0.527
Opportunity business unit
+0.447

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

68.1%

Model A: Planning

27.4%

Model B: Early Signal

9.2%

Stated Probability

30%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

27.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.163
Service sub-line track record
-0.883
Lead sales credit %
-0.779

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (27%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

9.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.787
Service sub-line track record
-0.623
Sub-sector track record
-0.562

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.