Identify30-60 Days

Extended Finance Extension - FY26

ID: 4406306-50

Potential Value

$250,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

175

Client & Account

Client

Metro Municipal Holdings

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

AI and Data Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Intelligent Analytics Platform (20383)

People & Dates

Partner

Taylor Feng

Pursuit Leader

Coleman Scott

Open Date

Nov 19, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

May 15, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Extended Finance Extension - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

40.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$21,978

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.668
Service sub-line track record
-0.439
Opportunity business unit
+0.323

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

40.7%

Model A: Planning

21.6%

Model B: Early Signal

11.1%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

21.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.078
Deal age (days since open)
-0.833
Service sub-line track record
-0.793

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (22%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

11.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.774
Service sub-line track record
-0.658
Deal size
-0.411

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (11%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.