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Predictive Sustainability Advisory - Phase 2

ID: 6829789-40

Potential Value

$503,183

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

119

Client & Account

Client

Vanguard Information Ventures

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Gonzalez Amit

Pursuit Leader

Kobayashi Jeffrey

Open Date

Jan 14, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Predictive Sustainability Advisory - Phase 2

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

45.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$55,194

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.614
Service sub-line track record
-0.474
Opportunity business unit
+0.209

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

45.0%

Model A: Planning

24.4%

Model B: Early Signal

15.2%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

24.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.139
Service sub-line track record
-0.956
Deal age (days since open)
-0.793

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (24%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

15.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.723
Service sub-line track record
-0.521
Deal size
-0.364

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (15%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.