IdentifyWithin 30 Days

Resilient Data Analytics Redesign

ID: 2951113-40

Potential Value

$50,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

575

Client & Account

Client

Lion Research Capital

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Healthcare Strategy (58866)

People & Dates

Partner

Johnson Miguel

Pursuit Leader

Lee Emma

Open Date

Oct 15, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Resilient Data Analytics Redesign

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

61.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$21,855

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.641
Service sub-line track record
-0.502
Opportunity business unit
+0.479

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

61.7%

Model A: Planning

70.8%

Model B: Early Signal

9.5%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

70.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.072
Deal age (days since open)
+0.967
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.861

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (71%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

9.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.700
Service sub-line track record
-0.595
Sub-sector track record
-0.515

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (10%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.