IdentifyPast Due

Innovative Internal Audit Consolidation (Amended)

ID: 2405659-50

Potential Value

$1

Deal Value

$1,000,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

180

Client & Account

Client

Keystone Regulatory Holdings

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Healthcare Strategy (58866)

People & Dates

Partner

Smith Barbara

Pursuit Leader

Gray Larry

Open Date

Nov 14, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Feb 12, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Innovative Internal Audit Consolidation (Amended)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

77.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.738
Work type
+0.684
Opportunity business unit
+0.457

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

77.0%

Model A: Planning

20.5%

Model B: Early Signal

16.8%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

20.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.214
Deal age (days since open)
-0.779
Lead sales credit %
-0.721

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (21%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

16.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.669
Service sub-line track record
-0.512
Market segment
-0.431

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (17%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, market segment.