PursuePast Due

Resilient Procurement Advisory - Extension

ID: 1099065-20

Potential Value

$50,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

219

Client & Account

Client

Pyro Partners

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Forensics

Competency

Discovery & Analytics

Global Service Code

Capacity Building (31200)

People & Dates

Partner

Wang Andrea

Pursuit Leader

Sharma Julie

Open Date

Oct 6, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 3, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Resilient Procurement Advisory - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

52.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$5,411

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.712
Service sub-line track record
-0.491
Opportunity business unit
+0.472

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

52.8%

Model A: Planning

20.5%

Model B: Early Signal

10.6%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

20.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.060
Service sub-line track record
-1.002
Deal age (days since open)
-0.797

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (21%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

10.6%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.695
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.685
Sub-sector track record
-0.424

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (11%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record.