Global Market Entry Modernization
ID: 2199150-20
Potential Value
$250,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
348
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Transactions & Corporate Finance
Competency
TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Regulatory Compliance (61122)
Partner
Aguilar Jean-Paul
Pursuit Leader
Nguyen Olivia
Open Date
May 30, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jul 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Global Market Entry Modernization
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
69.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$50,013
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
69.3%
Model A: Planning
28.9%
Model B: Early Signal
4.5%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
28.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (29%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
4.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.