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Digital Program Management Platform (Amended)

ID: 4756666-30

Potential Value

$500,000

Deal Value

$1,250,000

Stated Probability

70%

Days in Pipeline

258

Client & Account

Client

Allied Maritime Group

City

Philadelphia

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

People Experience

Global Service Code

Market Analysis (82042)

People & Dates

Partner

Smith Barbara

Pursuit Leader

Gray Larry

Open Date

Aug 28, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Digital Program Management Platform (Amended)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

75.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$344,179

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.730
Work type
+0.706
Deal size
-0.400

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

75.1%

Model A: Planning

91.6%

Model B: Early Signal

83.7%

Stated Probability

70%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

91.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.618
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.530
Recurring/additional sale
+0.833

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (92%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

83.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.897
Service sub-line track record
-0.868
Recurring/additional sale
+0.606

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (84%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.